​​Soaring 161%! The Invisible Winner in The MASH Race Steps Into The Spotlight​​

Sep 25, 2025Leave a message

From Traditional Chinese Medicine to Global Leader in Liver Disease Diagnostics​​
In March 2024, the ​​first-ever MASH (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis) drug​​, ​​Resmetirom​​, was approved by the ​​FDA​​, pulling the nearly delisted ​​Madrigal Pharmaceuticals​​ back from the brink and propelling its market cap toward ​​$10 billion​​. This marked the beginning of a ​​revolution in MASH treatment​​, transforming what was once considered a ​​"graveyard for drug development"​​ into one of the ​​hottest therapeutic fields​​.
Amid this frenzy, ​​Fosun Pharma (FR Pharma)​​-though less flashy than innovative biotech firms-has quietly emerged as a ​​hidden champion​​, leveraging its ​​dual expertise in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and liver disease diagnostics​​. Its stock price ​​surged 161% in just three months​​, climbing from ​​¥30.78/share (June 23 closing price) to ¥80.2/share (as of September 22)​​, making it a ​​dark horse in the capital markets​​.

​​01 From TCM Pioneer to Global Liver Diagnostics Leader​​
FR Pharma's story began in the late 1990s during China's ​​TCM boom​​.
​​1998​​: Founder ​​Wang Guanyi​​ established ​​FR Pharmaceuticals​​ in ​​Ulanqab, Inner Mongolia​​, focusing on ​​TCM R&D​​ and collaborating with ​​PLA 302 Hospital​​ (now the ​​Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital​​).
​​1999​​: The company acquired the ​​new drug certificate and production technology​​ for ​​Compound Biejia Ruangan Tablets (CBRT)​​ for ​​¥20 million​​. This drug, developed over ​​30 years of research​​, was the ​​first clinically proven TCM to reverse liver fibrosis​​, filling a critical gap in liver disease treatment.
​​2006-2009​​: CBRT sales grew steadily from ​​¥104 million to ¥127 million​​, accounting for ​​87.79%-96.12% of total revenue​​ and solidifying FR Pharma's leadership in ​​liver disease treatment​​.

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Source: FR Pharma official website
​​2010​​: FR Pharma went public on the ​​Shenzhen ChiNext board​​, standing out as one of the few ​​"biotech-pharma"​​ listed companies at the time.
​​2011​​: A ​​pivotal strategic shift​​-FR Pharma acquired ​​French firm Echosens​​ for ​​€20 million​​, gaining full ownership of its ​​FibroScan​​ technology, a ​​non-invasive liver stiffness and fat measurement system​​ based on ​​Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography (VCTE)​​.
By ​​2025​​, FR Pharma had successfully ​​transitioned from a TCM company to a global leader in liver diagnostics​​:
​​Medical device revenue​​: ​​¥482 million (H1 2025)​​, up ​​13.8% YoY​​, contributing ​​67.6% of total revenue​​.
​​Overseas revenue​​: ​​¥456 million (64% share)​​, reflecting its ​​global expansion​​.

​​02 The Liver Diagnostics Revolution​​
The ​​FDA approval of Resmetirom​​ in ​​March 2024​​ was a ​​game-changer​​ for MASH treatment:
​​Priced at $47,400/year​​, Resmetirom's sales skyrocketed:
​​Q2 2024​​: 14.6M→∗∗Q32024∗∗:62.2M → ​​Q4 2024​​: $100M+
​​2025​​: ​​317Mannualsales∗∗,with∗∗Q22025alonehitting212.8M​​
​​Madrigal raised its 2025 sales guidance to $800M+​

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Source: Madrigal Q2 2025 earnings report
​​Key driver​​: Unlike traditional ​​liver biopsy​​-invasive, costly, and risky-​​FibroScan's VCTE technology​​ was endorsed by ​​WHO, EASL, APASL, AASLD, and AACE​​ as the ​​preferred non-invasive diagnostic method​​.
​​August 2025​​: The ​​FDA formally accepted VCTE as a surrogate endpoint​​, paving the way for FibroScan to replace ​​liver biopsies in clinical trials​​.
As the ​​sole global patent holder of VCTE​​, FR Pharma's ​​Echosens​​ became the ​​indispensable "pick-and-shovel" player​​ in the MASH gold rush.

​​03 Opportunities and Challenges​​
With the booming development of the MASH treatment field, FR Pharma has seized unprecedented opportunities through its unique role as a "pick-and-shovel" player, while FibroScan's innovative sales model has further unlocked its growth potential.
Before 2022, Echosens primarily focused on selling FibroScan devices to large medical institutions and pharmaceutical companies involved in MASH-related clinical trials. In 2023, device sales reached ​​1,142 units​​, a ​​25% year-over-year increase​​. In 2022, Echosens pioneered a ​​pay-per-test model​​ with its FibroScan GO/Box/Handy series, shifting from traditional equipment sales to a ​​long-term revenue-sharing model​​ for diagnostic services. By the end of June 2025, ​​977 units​​ of this series had been deployed globally, generating ​​€30-60 per test​​ in Europe and the U.S.
The pay-per-test model not only better aligns with customer needs by reducing upfront costs but also helps FR Pharma ​​deepen customer engagement and secure stable long-term cash flow​​. In the first half of 2025, revenue from pay-per-test, leasing, and related services reached ​​¥229 million​​, accounting for ​​47.5% of total revenue​​-making it a ​​key growth driver​​ for the company.
The foundation of this model lies in the ​​patent-protected VCTE technology​​. FibroScan's VCTE is the ​​only globally patented solution​​, with continuous innovation and ​​protection until 2040​​. Its complex design and high imitation barriers further solidify its technological edge. More importantly, FibroScan enjoys ​​unshakable academic recognition​​: it has been recommended in ​​over 200 global guidelines​​ and supported by ​​more than 5,200 clinical studies​​, effectively establishing it as the ​​industry standard​​ and creating an ​​insurmountable competitive moat​​.
Although FR Pharma's ​​2025 interim report​​ did not show explosive growth, its ​​long-term growth trajectory remains clear​​. As global MASH drug development advances and more therapies gain approval, demand for FibroScan-an ​​essential diagnostic tool​​-is expected to surge. Coupled with the accelerating adoption of its pay-per-test model and deep partnerships with companies like ​​Novo Nordisk​​, FR Pharma has ​​significant earnings potential​​. Analysts project ​​30%-40% revenue growth​​ in its medical device segment for ​​2025-2026​​, with the pay-per-test model further increasing its revenue share.
Moreover, as FibroScan's ​​penetration rate rises​​, more ​​early-stage liver disease patients​​ will be diagnosed, potentially boosting sales of FR Pharma's traditional TCM drug, ​​Compound Biejia Ruangan Tablets (CBRT)​​. This could create a ​​dual-engine growth strategy​​-combining ​​diagnostic devices and therapeutic drugs​​-to further expand long-term opportunities.

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Source: Frost & Sullivan
However, FR Pharma is ​​not without risks​​. Competitors like ​​Philips​​ are advancing alternative technologies such as ​​Magnetic Resonance Elastography (MRE)​​ and ​​Shear Wave Elastography (SWE)​​, which could challenge FibroScan's dominance. Additionally, the company's performance is ​​closely tied to the MASH industry's trajectory​​. Any setbacks in MASH drug development, commercialization hurdles, or changes in healthcare reimbursement policies could impact FibroScan's demand. To maintain its leadership, FR Pharma must ​​continuously innovate and expand its technological edge​​.

​​Key Takeaways:​​
​​Pay-per-test model​​ (47.5% of H1 2025 revenue) is a ​​major growth catalyst​​.
​​VCTE patent moat​​ and ​​academic validation​​ create ​​high barriers to competition​​.
​​MASH drug approvals​​ will drive ​​long-term demand for FibroScan​​.
​​"Device + Drug" synergy​​ could unlock ​​new revenue streams​​.
​​Competition and industry risks​​ require ​​ongoing R&D investment​​.
FR Pharma's strategic positioning in the ​​MASH value chain​​-combined with its ​​pioneering business model​​-positions it for sustained growth, though it must navigate ​​evolving market dynamics​​ to stay ahead.

​​04 Conclusion​​
The ​​$100B+ MASH market​​ rewards ​​visionaries​​:
​​Madrigal​​ defied the "graveyard" odds with ​​Resmetirom​​.
​​FR Pharma​​ bet early on ​​diagnostics​​, turning ​​FibroScan into a cash cow​​.
With ​​"device + drug" synergies​​ (CBRT sales may rebound as FibroScan detects more early-stage patients) and ​​global expansion​​, ​​FR Pharma's gold rush story is just beginning​​.
​​References​​:
FR Pharma annual/semi-annual reports, official website
FR Pharma's Growth Drivers, Snowball Tech, Aug 8, 2025
FR Pharma: FibroScan GO Fuels New Growth, Huayuan Pharma, June 5, 2024

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